Wednesday, November 07, 2007

.10/.25 PLO SH 7/11/07

Stars
Opening Balance: $809.68
No. of Hands: 45
Closing Balance: $849.48 (+$39.80)

Running Totals: +$77.90/419
+311ptbb/419

Two important hands in this short session. The HH for the first one is a little screwed up (damn you FTR) so it might not make sense. I'm really only looking at the position on the flop anyway.

Button ($34.15)
Hero ($37.25)
BB ($24.20)
UTG ($21.25)
MP ($14.20)
CO ($16.50)

Preflop: Hero is SB with Th, Ks, 4h, 8c.
2 folds, CO calls $0.25, BTN calls $0.50, Hero completes, BB raises to $0.75, CO calls $0.50, BTN calls $0.50, Hero calls $0.50. Questionable, but at 5:1 I can have a little look

Flop: ($2.50) 6c, 7h, 5h (4 players) Flopped a straight 8-high and presently the second nuts. My hearts don't really count as a redraw so this is it. A ten-high flush is pretty weak, although it gives me a good shot against a bigger straight with no hearts. I'm relying on nobody hitting anything.
Hero bets $1.25, I don't expect this to take it down although it might. I plan to pot any non heart, non pair turn. BB folds, CO calls $1.25, BTN raises to $7.85, Hero raises to $27.65, CO folds, BTN calls $9.55 (All-In).

To give the villain some sample hands and get a percentage: (the % is my chance to win)
Set + 8 + FD (6d 6s 8h Ah): 33%
Set + FD + 2 overs (6d 6s Kh Ah): 42%
8 + 9 + 2 over (9s 8d Ah Kd): 42%
Two Pair + 8 + FD (6d 7s 8h Ah): 45% (10% tie)
Set + 8 + 1 over (6d 6s Ac 8s): 54% (8% tie)
Two Pair + FD + 2 overs (6d 6s Kh Ah): 55%

Set + 2 overs (6d 6s Ac Kh): 63%
Two Pair + 8 + 1 over (6d 7s Ac 8s): 70% (10% tie)
Two Pair + 2 overs (6d 7d Ac Kh): 80%

Now the more difficult question is what can I put in his range? I've seen him play 2-pair like this and I think he plays a little slower with the made straight (esp with made straight and A/K flush draw) so I'm putting him on one of the middle hands like Two Pair + 8 + 1 over or naked Two Pair.

Turn: ($40.95) 6s (2 players, 1 all-in)

River: ($40.95) 8d (2 players, 1 all-in)

Final Pot: $40.95

He turned over 3467 no flush draw for a full house on the turn.

Hand 2:

CO ($34.15)
Hero ($37.25)
SB ($24.20)
BB ($21.25)
UTG ($14.20)
MP ($16.50)

Preflop: Hero is Button with 6c, 4d, 4c, Jh.
UTG calls $0.25, MP calls $0.25, CO calls $0.25, Hero calls $0.25, Passive blinds, take a flop with the pair and 64 SB completes, BB checks.

Flop: ($1.50) 4h, 8d, Ad (6 players) Bottom set, no straights, diamond flushd raw available
SB bets $1, BB calls $1, UTG calls $1, MP calls $1, CO raises to $2.25, Hero raises to $12.2, Too much value for flush draws. Bottom set is nothing like strong enough to not raise. Trying to win it now SB folds, BB folds, UTG folds, MP folds, CO calls $9.95.

Turn: ($29.90) 2s (2 players) Really helps nothing. If he has A835 or something, GG.
CO checks, Hero bets $24.8 (All-In), CO calls $21.70 (All-In).

River: ($73.30) Kh (2 players, 2 all-in)

Final Pot: $73.31

He flipped 77K3 with a NFD. Thank you for the money!

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